The thermal stress induced by the atmospheric environment, e.g. temperature, wind, humidity and radiation, on the human body is computed as Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) via the UTCI-Fiala advanced multi-node model of thermoregulation and forecast at the pan-European scale.
UTCI forecasts, as proxy for heatwave forecasts, are computed at the pan-European scale with a 10-day lead time as a 6th order polynomial regression function of the meteorological parameters provided by the ensemble forecast system (ENS) from the ECMWF IFS global weather operating system.
| Category | Heatwaves and weather-induced health impacts |
|---|---|
| References | Pappenberger F. et al., Int. J. Biometeorol. 59(3): 311-323, 2015; Błażejczyk K. et al., Geogr. Pol. 86(1): 5-10, 2013 |
| References (2) | Di Napoli, C., Pappenberger, F. & Cloke, H.L. Int J Biometeorol (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-018-1518-2 |
| Developer | UoR |
| Development Stage | TRL=6 |
