Publications
Peer reviewed journal articles
Alfieri, L., Smith, P. J., Thielen-del Pozo, J., Beven, K. J., 2011. A staggered approach to flash flood forecasting case study in the Cevennes region. Adv. Geosci., 29, 13–20, doi:10.5194/adgeo- 29-13-2011
Atencia, A., Rigo, T., Sairouni, A., Mor, J., Bech, J., Vilaclara,E., Cunillera, J., Llasat, M. C., Garrote, L., 2010. Improving QPF by blending techniques at the Meteorological Service of Catalonia. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10, 1443–1455,doi:10.5194/nhess-10-1443-2010.
Berenguer, M., Sempere-Torres, D., Pegram,G., 2011. SBMcast - An ensemble nowcasting technique to assess the uncertainty in rainfall forecasts by Lagrangian extrapolation. J. Hydrol., 404, 226-240
Brauer, C. C., Teuling, A. J., Overeem, A., van der Velde, Y., Hazenberg, P., Warmerdam, P. M. M., Uijlenhoet, R., 2011. Soil buffer limits flash flood response to extraordinary rainfall in a Dutch lowland catchment. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 8, 111-150, doi:10.5194/hessd-8-111-2011
Cabello, A., Velasco, M., Barredo, J.I., Hurkmans, R.T.W.L., Barrera-Escoda, A., Sempere-Torres, D., Velasco, D., 2011. Assessment of future scenarios of climate and land-use changes in the IMPRINTS test-bed areas. Environmental Science & Policy 14,7, 884-897, ISSN 1462-9011, 10.1016/j.envsci.2011.03.003.
Fundel F, Zappa M. 2011. Hydrological Ensemble Forecasting in Mesoscale Catchments: Sensitivity to Initial Conditions and Value of Reforecasts. Water Resour. Res., 47, W09520, doi:10.1029/2010WR009996.
He, Y., Pappenberger, F., Thielen-del Pozo, J., Weerts, A., Ramos, M.-H., Bruen, M., 2011. Towards practical applications in ensemble hydro-meteorological forecasting. Adv. Geosci., 29, 119–121
Mandapaka, P.V., Germann, U., Panziera, L., Hering, A., 2011. Can Lagrangian Extrapolation of Radar Fields be used for Precipitation Nowcasting over Complex Alpine Orography? Weather and Forecasting 2011 doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-11-00050.1
Panziera, L., Germann, U., Gabella, M., Mandapaka, P. V., 2011. NORA–Nowcasting of Orographic Rainfall by means of Analogues. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. doi: 10.1002/qj.878
Pegram, G., Llort, X., Sempere-Torres, D., 2011. Radar-Rainfall: Separating Signal and Noise Fields to Generate Meaningful Ensembles. Atmospheric Research, vol 100. pp 226-236, DOI:10.1016/j.atmosres.2010.11.018
Quevauviller, P., 2011. Adaptation to Climate Change: Reducing Water-related Risks in Europe. Environmental Science & Policy 14, 7, 719-720.
Ph.D. Thesis
Llort, X., 2010: A study of the structure of radar rainfall and its errors. Ph.D. Thesis. Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. 123pp.
Panziera, L. 2010: Orographic forcing,the key for heuristic nowcasting of rainfall in the Alps. Ph.D. Thesis. Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Züric. 115pp.
Quintero, F., 2011: A study of the uncertainty related to hydrological modelling. Ph.D. Thesis. Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya.120pp
Public Deliverables
D5.1: Report describing the inventory and the comparative analysis of the available post-event studies on damages and social impacts in the selected test-bed areas.
D10.1: Project Web-site and project-site in Wiki format.
D10.2: First Reporting period scientific and administrative report.
Conference proceedings / presentations
Abancó, C., Hürlimann, M. (2010) Preliminary analysis of relevant parameters for debris-flow entrainment using field data and two different numerical codes in the Eastern Pyrenees. General Assembly of the European Geosciences Union, Vienna. Geophysical Research Abstract, Vol. 12, 5245.
Alfieri, L., Thielen Del Pozo, J., 2010. Towards a flash flood early warning system through hydrological simulation of probabilistic ensemble forecasts. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 12, EGU2010-15621
Alfieri, L., and Thielen, J., A flash flood early warning system based on hydrometeorological simulation of ensemble weather forecasts, 2010, 4th HyMeX Workshop, Bologna, Italy, 8-10 June 2010.
Alfieri, L., and Thielen, J., Hydrological applications of probabilistic ensemble forecasts for flash flood early detection, 2010, HydroPredict 2010, International Interdisciplinary Conference, Prague, Czech Republic, 20-23 September 2010.
Alfieri, L., and Thielen, J., Hydrological simulation of probabilistic ensemble forecasts for flash flood early detection, 2010, International workshop on EU Flood directive implementation in Mediterranean zone: Tools and challenges for efficient risk management, Barcelona, 17 June, 2010.
Alfieri, L., and Thielen, J., Operational hydrological applications of probabilistic ensemble forecasts for flash flood early warning, IMPRINTS First Annual Meeting, Stresa, Italy, 2-5 February 2010.
Alfieri, L., and Thielen, J., Towards a flash flood early warning system through hydrological simulation of probabilistic ensemble forecasts, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 12, EGU2010-15621, 2010, EGU General Assembly 2010, Vienna, Austria.
Alfieri, L., Thielen, J., and de Roo, A., Flash flood early warning using ensemble weather forecasts, 2010, Thematic Workshop: Flash Floods and Pluvial Flooding, Cagliari, Italy, 26-28 May 2010.
Alfieri L., P. Smith, J. Thielen and K. Beven (submitted) A staggered approach to flash flood forecasting – making the best of uncertainty at different levels, submitted to Special issue of Advances in Geosciences, July 2010.
Atencia, A., Bech, J., Rigo, T., Sairouni, A., More, J., Vilaclara, E., Panziera, L., Mandapaka, P.V., Germann, U., Hering, A., Buzzi, M., Llasat, M., Garrote, L.,2010. Blending NWP corrected forecasts and radar-based nowcasts, Proceedings of 6th European Conference on Radar in Meteorology and Hydrology: Advances in Radar Technology, Sibiu, Romania.
Barrera-Escoda, A. and J. Cunillera, 2010: Study of the precipitation evolution in Catalonia using a mesoscale model (1971–2000). Advances in Geosciences., 26, pp. 1-6, doi:10.5194/adgeo-26-1-2010
Bateman, A., Medina, V., Morloti, E., Renaud, A., 2010. Woody debris flow behavior from experimental analysis. Geophysical Research Abstracts Vol. 12, EGU2010-14279, 2010
Bateman, A., Medina, V., Ciervo, F., Papa, M., Bregoli, F., 2010. Application of a debris flow 2D model to a mudflow event in the Sambuco basin. Geophysical Research Abstracts Vol. 12, EGU2010-14230
Bateman, A., Medina, V., Bregoli, F., Hürlimann, M., Chevalier, G., Ciervo, F., Papa, M., 2010. Development of preliminary assesment tools to evaluate debris flow hazard. Geophysical Research Abstracts Vol. 12, EGU2010-14262
Bregoli F., Bateman A., Ciervo F., Medina V., Hürlimann M., Chevalier G. and Papa M. Development of preliminary assessment tools to evaluate debris flow hazard. 5th International Conference on Debris-Flow Hazards Mitigation: Mechanics, Prediction and Assessment; June 21-24, 2010; Polytechnical University of Catalonia, Spain; Submitted.
Bregoli F., Bateman A., Ciervo F., Medina V., Hürlimann M., Chevalier G. and Papa M. Simulation Methodologies to perform Debris Flow and Flash Flood events. State-of-art. 5th International European Geosciences Union 2010, Wien, Austria; Submitted.
Bregoli F., Bateman A., Medina V. y Hürlimann M.; Desarrollo de herramientas para la evaluación preliminar de la peligrosidad de corrientes detriticas. XXIV Congreso Latinoamericano de Hidráulica 2010, Punta del Este, Uruguay; Submitted.
Bregoli F., Bateman A., Ciervo F., Medina V., Hürlimann M., Chevalier G. and Papa M.; Development of preliminary assessment tools to evaluate debris flow hazard; 5th International Conference on Debris-Flow Hazards Mitigation: Mechanics, Prediction and Assessment; June 21-24, 2010; Polytechnical University of Catalonia, Spain.
Bregoli F., Bateman A., Ciervo F., Medina V., Hürlimann M., Chevalier G. and Papa M: Simulation Methodologies to perform Debris Flow and Flash Flood events. State-of-art.; 5th International European Geosciences Union 2010, Wien, Austria.
Bregoli F., Bateman A., Medina V. y Hürlimann M: Desarrollo de herramientas para la evaluación preliminar de la peligrosidad de corrientes detriticas;.; XXIV Congreso Latinoamericano de Hidráulica 2010, Punta del Este, Uruguay.
Bruen M, Krahe P, Zappa M, Olsson J, Vehvilainen B, Kok K, Daamen K. Visualising flood forecasting uncertainty: some current European EPS platforms – COST731 Working Group 3. 2010. Atmospheric Science Letters, 2: 92-99. doi:10.1002/asl.258
Cabello, A., M. Velasco and I. Escaler, 2010: Lessons learnt from past Flash Floods and Debris Flow events to propose future strategies on risk management. 5th International European Geosciences Union, 2-7 May 2010, Wien, Austria; Poster presentation
Chevalier, G.; Hürlimann, M., Medina, V., Bregoli, F., Abancó C. (2010) Geomorphology- based debris flow hazard recognition in the Eastern Pyrenees – a fluvial approach. International workshop on EU Flood directive implementation in Mediterranean zone: Tools and challenges for efficient risk management, Barcelona
Diezig, R, Fundel, F, Jaun, S and Vogt, S, 2010, Verification of runoff forecasts by the FOEN and WSL, extended abstract, WSL.
Germann, U., Panziera,L., Mandapaka,P.V., Hering, A., Zappa, M., 2010. Analogs, mesoscale wind and airmass stability: the key for nowcasting orographic precipitation, Proceedings of 6th European Conference on Radar in Meteorology and Hydrology: Advances in Radar Technology, Sibiu, Romania.
Mandapaka, P.V., Germann,U., Panziera, L., Hering, A., 2011. Extending the Lagrangian extrapolation scheme to account for the evolution of rainfall patterns over the complex orography,International Conference on Weather Radar and Hydrology, Exeter, U.K.
Medina V., Ciervo F., Papa M., Bateman A., Bregoli F.:Application of a debris flow 2D model to a mudflow events in the Sambuco basin; 5th International European Geosciences Union 2010, Wien, Austria.
Panziera, L., Mandapaka, P.V., Atencia, A., Hering, A., Germann, U., Gabella, M., Buzzi, M. 2010. Evaluation of precipitation nowcasting techniques for the Alpine region, 10th EMS Annual Meeting and 8th European Conference on Applied Climatology, Zurich, Switzerland.
Papa, M.N., A. Carbone, M. Iammarino & G. Trentini; An integrated approach for debris flow hazard assessment - a case study in the Amalfiʼs Coast; 5th International Conference on Debris-Flow Hazards Mitigation: Mechanics, Prediction and Assessment; June 14-17, 2011; University of Padua, Italy; Submitted.
Pappenberger, F., Zappa, M. Smith, P.J. Ramos, M.H. Cloke, H.L., He, Y., Wetterhall, F., Rossa, A., Schaake, J., Thielen, J. , 2010, Reply to HESS Opinions “Ensemble, uncertainty and flood prediction” by Dance, S. and Zou, Q.P., Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussion , 7, 3591-3611
Pfeifer, M., López, D. Hernández, O., Sánchez-Diezma, R.,2010. SP7: Development of Practitioners Tools, Poster presented during Stressa Imprints Meeting (2 – 5 February 2010).
Portilla, M.; Hürlimann, M., Corominas, J. (2009) Analysis of rainfall-induced shallow landslides and debris flows in the Eastern Pyrenees. 11th Plinius Conference on Mediterranean Storms, Barcelona, Plinius Conference Abstracts,Vol. 11, CD-ROM.
Portilla, M., Chevalier, G., Hürlimann, M. (2010) Description and analysis of major debris flows occurred during 2008 in the Eastern Pyrenees. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. In press.
Rodríguez-Ramos, A., Hernández, O., Sánchez-Diezma, R., 2010. A platform for Flash Flood and Debris Floor forecast and warning, Poster in the International Workshop on the implementation of the EU Flood directive in Mediterranean areas: Tools and challenges for efficient risk management (17 June 2010).
Smith, P. J., Beven, K., 2011. Forecasting river levels during flash floods using Data Based mechanistic models, online data assimilation and meteorological forecasts, Proceedings of the British Hydrological Society International Symposium, Newcastle
Smith PJ, Leedal D, Beven KJ and Young PC. Forecasting river level using Data Based Mechanistic models and online data assimilation. European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Vienna, 2010. Abstract No. EGU2010-4820
Smith PJ, Beven KJ and Weerts A. Adaptive correction of deterministic models to produce accurate probabilistic forecasts. European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Vienna, 2010. Abstract No. EGU2010-4834
Smith PJ and Beven KJ. Forecasting river levels during flash floods using Data Based Mechanistic models, online data assimilation and meteorological forecasts. British Hydrological Society International Symposium, Newcastle (UK). July 2010.
Velasco, D., Sempere-Torres, Corral, C., Llort, X. and Velasco, E.: A probabilistic approach of the Flash Flood Early Warning System (FF-EWS) in Catalonia based on radar ensemble generation. 5th International European Geosciences Union 2010, Wien, Austria.
Versini, P-A., Corral, C., Sempere-Torres, D. and Santiago-Gahette, A.: An operational flood warning system in Andalucía (Spain): Presentation and first successfully results. 5th International European Geosciences Union 2010, Wien, Austria.
Zappa M, Beven KJ, Bruen M, Cofino A, Kok K, Martin E, Nurmi P, Orfila B, Roulin E, Schröter K,Seed A, Stzurc J, Vehviläinen B, Germann U, Rossa A. 2010. Propagation of uncertainty from observing systems and NWP into hydrological models: COST-731 Working Group 2. Atmospheric Science Letters, 2: 83-91. doi:10.1002/asl.248
Zappa M, Rossa A, Liechti K, Bruen M, Germann U, Haase G, Keil C, Krahe P. 2010. The Cost731 Action- Propagation of uncertainty from meteorology into hydrological models. CHR-Workshop on Advances in Flood Forecasting and the Implications for Risk Management. Alkmaar, NL. 25-26 May 2010. Extended Abstracs. pp. 31-36.
Zappa M. Three Years of Experience in Implementing, Maintaining, Verifying and Explaining Operational Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems. General Assembly of the European Geoscience Union EGU. Wien, Austria, May 2010. Abstract No. EGU2010- 4567 [Solicited].
Zappa M, Innovative Forschung für die operationelle Hydrologie mit dem hydrologischen Modell PREVAH: Meilensteine seit 2005 und Perspektiven bis 2012. Tagung "Operationelle Hydrologische Vorhersagen", 14-15 June 2010, Berne, Switzerland. [Solicited].
Zappa, M and Jaun, S, (submitted) On Being Hydrologist and Maintaining an Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Chain: Three Years of Real-Time Experience, submitted to Special issue of Advances in Geosciences, July 2010
