Global View

Actions and means involved to carry out the project:

The starting point of this project is the prototype developed in the prevention project HAREN, which uses European-wide radar mosaics produced by OPERA to issue European-wide high-resolution rainfall forecasts up to 6 hours.

The actions to be carried out can be grouped into 4 main groups: (1) improvement of the prototype system for convective rainfall and lightning hazard identification (Tasks A and B), (2) adding specific European-wide hydrological hazard assessment and adapting the system interface to increase complementarity with the EFAS platform (Tasks C and D), (3) demonstration activities (Task E), and (4) management and publicity (Tasks F and G).

The means needed to carry out the project are fundamentally those of the Coordinator and the Associated Beneficiaries. Beyond these, subcontracting will be limited to minor external services supporting the organization of a Training School (Action E.3) and an International Workshop (Action F.2).

The project is supported by a number of non-funded stakeholders, which include data providers (OPERA, Vaisala and ESSL), the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the EC DG Joint Research Centre (JRC).

Expected results

The main result of the Project will be the intensive demonstration of an improved version of the European-wide rainfall- induced hazard identification tool. The main advancements will include:

  • Improvement of the robustness and usability of the forecasting methodologies thanks to the feedback gained during the HAREN verification tests.
  • Improvement of the convective storms nowcasting skills using multisensor observations (European-wide OPERA radar mosaics, satellite imagery and lightning) and the introduction of a model-based convection scheme to include convective evolution into the precipitation forecasts.
  • European-wide lightning hazard identification and forecasting based on the GLD 360 and EUCLID products.
  • European-wide Hydrological hazard identification based on basin-aggregated rainfall forecasts for basins over 10 km2.
  • Increase of the complementarity of the generated products and graphic interface with EFAS.

The improvements of the platform will be extensively demonstrated in a number of Actions, analysing its usefulness for Civil Protection agencies, including a European Training School organized at the Civil Protection of Lower Austria.